Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 5.174892 5.624355 6.124951 6.730263 7.451458 8.295491 9.377400
2025-01-19 4.390800 4.924689 5.555890 6.374656 7.437204 8.815475 10.828235
2025-01-26 4.114195 4.756443 5.562022 6.687119 8.295461 10.665758 14.824793
2025-02-02 4.022106 4.797083 5.831964 7.403043 9.932259 14.379646 24.995657
2025-02-09 3.816690 4.659963 5.841915 7.763627 11.205351 18.464781 44.841996
2025-02-16 3.605128 4.485813 5.770644 7.988120 12.379425 23.673409 106.895664
2025-02-23 3.393011 4.284919 5.628354 8.065140 13.345339 30.056542 940.236253
2025-03-02 3.126886 3.977735 5.279874 7.702774 13.214992 33.038840 NaN
2025-03-09 2.947345 3.783756 5.089832 7.601660 13.705488 40.406101 NaN
2025-03-16 2.738492 3.528384 4.771769 7.195350 13.250558 42.302323 NaN
2025-03-23 2.634461 3.426251 4.698984 7.269789 14.205009 58.976770 NaN
2025-03-30 2.523420 3.304234 4.578756 7.223144 14.804382 80.728296 NaN
2025-04-06 2.365894 3.110811 4.338234 6.927800 14.650151 99.944761 NaN
2025-04-13 2.215940 2.920912 4.089148 6.579135 14.190026 114.550252 NaN
2025-04-20 2.173027 2.900557 4.141602 6.931453 16.710013 1400.676913 NaN
2025-04-27 2.176471 2.956377 4.342563 7.716684 22.691255 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.133471 2.930306 4.384734 8.122209 28.181407 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.078895 2.879795 4.372212 8.379257 34.067317 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.015452 2.808985 4.309955 8.473692 39.506631 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.921499 2.678381 4.110477 8.085915 37.816674 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.855759 2.594721 4.003574 7.981233 40.402625 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.770867 2.472647 3.806107 7.542626 36.831053 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.729296 2.426367 3.766928 7.626630 42.661211 NaN NaN